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Calculating odds for losing in the game of Roulette


Though roulette is a fairly easy game to play, the betting options are numerous and if you aspire to be a careful gambler, learn the possible payouts for each possible bet you make and the extent of the ruin.

Betting on the colors yields even money payouts. If for example a player wagered on a red number and the ball landed on the black, the player is bound to lose his entire wager. If alternatively, the ball lands on a zero, the player is pegged in balance as he neither wins, nor loses. If a player carries on with the game his bet passes to the consequent roulette wheel spin. If the ball on this spin poses on the red number, then the player gets back his own bet and if the black number comes up, the player’s bet is taken away.

Now let’s talk in probabilities. The player’s betting has three outcomes: a win, a loss, or a tie. The probability of winning and losing on the first spin is essentially the same, 18/37. The odds of the ball poising on a zero slot are 1/37. To simplify the matter, after the first zero occurrence, on the consequent spin the odds for losing or getting a tie are virtually the same, or 1/74.

Finally, the formula for Gambler’s Ruin in Roulette: (x) = (q/p)x (1); r(z) = [f(a) - f(z)]/[ f(a) - 1. R, obviously stands for Ruin; P – is the chance of winning and q – the chance for losing. A – is the player’s target and z – is the player’s wager.




Source: Roulette2002 News Staff

Monday, 2 May 2005

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